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Flood Outlook Updated for Lake Erie Shoreline

Thursday, 9 May 2019 at 16:47

The Long Point Region Conservation Authority has issued a flood outlook message for the Lake Erie shoreline.

The Long Point Region Conservation Authority has issued a flood outlook message for the Lake Erie shoreline. 

The updated message is meant to raise attention to the current and forecast high static water levels of Lake Erie. The potential for storm surge events continues to be increased as a result of the higher lake levels.

The National Hydrological Services Great Lakes Water Levels Information Memorandum (May 1st, 2019) reports that:

- Water supplies to the Great Lakes were well above average in April as a result of heavy rain, mild temperatures and snow melt.

- During the month of April, Lake Erie was 60 cm above average and the 6th highest April mean level on record, and the highest since 1998.

- At the beginning of May, Lake Erie’s monthly water level was 3 cm above the record-high set in May 1985.

- Lake Erie could exceed monthly average levels this summer and early fall set in 1986.
 
As a result of the high lake levels, there continues to be an increased risk for flooding and erosion along the Lake Erie shoreline. The greatest risk for flooding and erosion in the Long Point Region in particular is from storms with sustained south-westerly and westerly wind storms. The risk for flood events along the shoreline is expected to remain high into summer. 

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