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Latest COVID-19 Modelling Numbers for Ontario

Friday, 26 February 2021 at 05:28

Ontario could have close to 500 new cases per day by the end of March if we get a handle on the COVID-19 variants.

ONTARIO - Provincial health officials provided a COVID-19 modelling update yesterday.

They say there is a good chance the pandemic will have receded by the summer, but also warn we will need to loosen restrictions carefully. The modelling right now shows that we have the potential for up to 4,000 new cases a day by the second week of March if COVID-19 variants get out of control. If the Province can get a handle on the variants, the numbers would be close to 500 daily cases by the end of March.

Doctor Adalsteinn Brown says that if we put the work in now, the pandemic will most likely recede in the summer. 

"We can keep the gains we have made by watching spread very closely and by loosening public health measures only carefully. We must be nimble in applying public health measures to extinguish flare ups quickly."

 He predicts that variants will be responsible for up to 40 percent of cases by the second week of March. 

Officials say declines in hospitalizations and number of cases are slowing down, and the spread of variants could result in a rise in hospitalizations. 

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